Community Picks - Jan 4

Last week: 2-0-1 (100%)

Saturday, January 4

Liberty +3

Liberty owns the better offense and defense and will come to play. When looking at games against fellow bowl teams, Buffalo was out-gained by an average of -162 net yards per game, while Liberty won by an average of +40 net yards per game Take the points!

NFL

The final week of the NFL season is often challenging and many bettors get trapped into believing that “needs to win” means that a team will win.  Every year there are teams playing for nothing who relish the opportunity to ruin another team's season.

Sunday, January 5

Miami Pk

Despite Tua missing this game due to injury, Miami is better on both sides of the ball and needs to win to have a shot at making the playoffs while the Jets have already been eliminated.  Miami should dominate the dejected Jets and win by at least 6 points.

Washington -6.5

Washington is still playing for playoff position while Dallas has been eliminated and will be missing Cee Dee Lamb.  Washington holds advantages in every statistical category I track but one (Penalty yards per game) and hold significant advantages in most. In addition, Washington has revenge motivation at work having lost earlier this season at home to Dallas in a game in which they outyarded the Cowboys by 91 net yards.  I have the Commanders winning by at least 10 points.